Attacks on shipping in the Red Sea divert traffic around Africa
Attacks on shipping in the Red Sea divert traffic around Africa. The disruption ran from 2023-11-19 (19 November 2023), and is ongoing, affecting Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Suez Canal, Cape of Good Hope. Bab el-Mandeb Strait averaged 7.1 transits per day during the event window against an expected 19.6 (-63.7%). Suez Canal averaged 54.1 transits per day during the event window against an expected 75.8 (-28.6%). Cape of Good Hope averaged 70.3 transits per day during the event window against an expected 50.8 (+38.3%). Bab el-Mandeb Strait averaged 47.8 transits per day during the event window against an expected 77.5 (-38.3%).
Key facts
- Started
- 2023-11-19 (19 November 2023)
- Ended
- Not ended
- Status
- ongoing
- Severity
- 5 Critical
- Scope
- global
- Chokepoints
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Suez Canal, Cape of Good Hope
- Ports
- None
- Countries
- Yemen, Egypt, South Africa
- Confidence
- medium: The start date and the attribution of the seizure are confirmed by a United Kingdom government statement and the diversions by Maersk's own advisories, but the status in September 2026 rests on press reporting rather than a dated official announcement.
- First reported
- 2023-11-21 (21 November 2023)
- Severity basis: A disruption documented by official sources across more than one region at once; governments and carriers have recorded attacks in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden and the rerouting of services around the Cape of Good Hope since 2023.
What happened
On 2023-11-19 (19 November 2023) the vehicle carrier Galaxy Leader was seized in the Red Sea near Hodeidah, the first in a run of attacks on merchant ships that the United Kingdom government and other states attribute to the Houthi movement. Attacks with missiles, drones and boarding parties followed through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and the Gulf of Aden. From 2023-12-15 (15 December 2023) Maersk paused its ships bound for the strait and then routed services around the Cape of Good Hope, and other carriers did the same, moving a large share of Asia to Europe traffic off the Suez route. Attacks paused between late 2025 and early 2026 and some services returned, then threats and rerouting resumed. As of 2026-09-15 (15 September 2026) no dated official announcement records an end.
Measured effect
Transits, all vessel types, Bab el-Mandeb Strait
- Baseline (expected)
- 77.5 transits per day
- Observed
- 47.8 transits per day
- Change
- -29.7 (-38.3%)
- Standardised score
- -3.4
- Event window
- 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-17 (120 days, provisional)
- Baseline window
- 2023-09-17 to 2023-11-11 (56 valid days)
- Method
- wfm-effect-1.0
- Computed
- 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), data revision 1:0c379bcba900
Source: IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org), International Monetary Fund, using UN Global Platform AIS data. Statistics derived by World Freight Monitor. Terms. Retrieved 2026-09-15 (15 September 2026).
| Date | transits per day |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | 39 |
| 2025-08-11 | 37 |
| 2025-08-12 | 40 |
| 2025-08-13 | 47 |
| 2025-08-14 | 42 |
| 2025-08-15 | 33 |
| 2025-08-16 | 25 |
| 2025-08-17 | 23 |
| 2025-08-18 | 27 |
| 2025-08-19 | 33 |
| 2025-08-20 | 34 |
| 2025-08-21 | 27 |
| 2025-08-22 | 27 |
| 2025-08-23 | 33 |
| 2025-08-24 | 35 |
| 2025-08-25 | 30 |
| 2025-08-26 | 34 |
| 2025-08-27 | 42 |
| 2025-08-28 | 34 |
| 2025-08-29 | 43 |
| 2025-08-30 | 48 |
| 2025-08-31 | 33 |
| 2025-09-01 | 29 |
| 2025-09-02 | 29 |
| 2025-09-03 | 38 |
| 2025-09-04 | 30 |
| 2025-09-05 | 46 |
| 2025-09-06 | 35 |
| 2025-09-07 | 32 |
| 2025-09-08 | 33 |
| 2025-09-09 | 35 |
| 2025-09-10 | 29 |
| 2025-09-11 | 31 |
| 2025-09-12 | 39 |
| 2025-09-13 | 43 |
| 2025-09-14 | 39 |
| 2025-09-15 | 35 |
| 2025-09-16 | 40 |
| 2025-09-17 | 29 |
| 2025-09-18 | 36 |
| 2025-09-19 | 36 |
| 2025-09-20 | 33 |
| 2025-09-21 | 31 |
| 2025-09-22 | 33 |
| 2025-09-23 | 29 |
| 2025-09-24 | 24 |
| 2025-09-25 | 44 |
| 2025-09-26 | 26 |
| 2025-09-27 | 43 |
| 2025-09-28 | 34 |
| 2025-09-29 | 30 |
| 2025-09-30 | 27 |
| 2025-10-01 | 23 |
| 2025-10-02 | 46 |
| 2025-10-03 | 33 |
| 2025-10-04 | 46 |
| 2025-10-05 | 31 |
| 2025-10-06 | 39 |
| 2025-10-07 | 31 |
| 2025-10-08 | 31 |
| 2025-10-09 | 41 |
| 2025-10-10 | 34 |
| 2025-10-11 | 34 |
| 2025-10-12 | 28 |
| 2025-10-13 | 32 |
| 2025-10-14 | 42 |
| 2025-10-15 | 29 |
| 2025-10-16 | 32 |
| 2025-10-17 | 41 |
| 2025-10-18 | 46 |
| 2025-10-19 | 41 |
| 2025-10-20 | 41 |
| 2025-10-21 | 55 |
| 2025-10-22 | 30 |
| 2025-10-23 | 35 |
| 2025-10-24 | 29 |
| 2025-10-25 | 42 |
| 2025-10-26 | 30 |
| 2025-10-27 | 24 |
| 2025-10-28 | 32 |
| 2025-10-29 | 41 |
| 2025-10-30 | 38 |
| 2025-10-31 | 42 |
| 2025-11-01 | 25 |
| 2025-11-02 | 43 |
| 2025-11-03 | 43 |
| 2025-11-04 | 33 |
| 2025-11-05 | 31 |
| 2025-11-06 | 50 |
| 2025-11-07 | 38 |
| 2025-11-08 | 42 |
| 2025-11-09 | 44 |
| 2025-11-10 | 32 |
| 2025-11-11 | 41 |
| 2025-11-12 | 27 |
| 2025-11-13 | 34 |
| 2025-11-14 | 28 |
| 2025-11-15 | 37 |
| 2025-11-16 | 38 |
| 2025-11-17 | 40 |
| 2025-11-18 | 41 |
| 2025-11-19 | 38 |
| 2025-11-20 | 47 |
| 2025-11-21 | 39 |
| 2025-11-22 | 33 |
| 2025-11-23 | 47 |
| 2025-11-24 | 30 |
| 2025-11-25 | 45 |
| 2025-11-26 | 38 |
| 2025-11-27 | 32 |
| 2025-11-28 | 37 |
| 2025-11-29 | 33 |
| 2025-11-30 | 47 |
| 2025-12-01 | 29 |
| 2025-12-02 | 42 |
| 2025-12-03 | 42 |
| 2025-12-04 | 26 |
| 2025-12-05 | 39 |
| 2025-12-06 | 40 |
| 2025-12-07 | 40 |
| 2025-12-08 | 19 |
| 2025-12-09 | 13 |
| 2025-12-10 | 26 |
| 2025-12-11 | 24 |
| 2025-12-12 | 31 |
| 2025-12-13 | 27 |
| 2025-12-14 | 37 |
| 2025-12-15 | 26 |
| 2025-12-16 | 35 |
| 2025-12-17 | 40 |
| 2025-12-18 | 35 |
| 2025-12-19 | 29 |
| 2025-12-20 | 23 |
| 2025-12-21 | 39 |
| 2025-12-22 | 24 |
| 2025-12-23 | 34 |
| 2025-12-24 | 30 |
| 2025-12-25 | 43 |
| 2025-12-26 | 30 |
| 2025-12-27 | 38 |
| 2025-12-28 | 43 |
| 2025-12-29 | 42 |
| 2025-12-30 | 34 |
| 2025-12-31 | 34 |
| 2026-01-01 | 29 |
| 2026-01-02 | 26 |
| 2026-01-03 | 37 |
| 2026-01-04 | 31 |
| 2026-01-05 | 28 |
| 2026-01-06 | 26 |
| 2026-01-07 | 42 |
| 2026-01-08 | 31 |
| 2026-01-09 | 36 |
| 2026-01-10 | 36 |
| 2026-01-11 | 38 |
| 2026-01-12 | 39 |
| 2026-01-13 | 32 |
| 2026-01-14 | 23 |
| 2026-01-15 | 39 |
| 2026-01-16 | 37 |
| 2026-01-17 | 27 |
| 2026-01-18 | 35 |
| 2026-01-19 | 33 |
| 2026-01-20 | 37 |
| 2026-01-21 | 30 |
| 2026-01-22 | 30 |
| 2026-01-23 | 34 |
| 2026-01-24 | 35 |
| 2026-01-25 | 40 |
| 2026-01-26 | 42 |
| 2026-01-27 | 33 |
| 2026-01-28 | 36 |
| 2026-01-29 | 32 |
| 2026-01-30 | 34 |
| 2026-01-31 | 31 |
| 2026-02-01 | 37 |
| 2026-02-02 | 22 |
| 2026-02-03 | 35 |
| 2026-02-04 | 45 |
| 2026-02-05 | 30 |
| 2026-02-06 | 32 |
| 2026-02-07 | 30 |
| 2026-02-08 | 44 |
| 2026-02-09 | 32 |
| 2026-02-10 | 32 |
| 2026-02-11 | 41 |
| 2026-02-12 | 34 |
| 2026-02-13 | 43 |
| 2026-02-14 | 31 |
| 2026-02-15 | 34 |
| 2026-02-16 | 30 |
| 2026-02-17 | 51 |
| 2026-02-18 | 41 |
| 2026-02-19 | 27 |
| 2026-02-20 | 49 |
| 2026-02-21 | 38 |
| 2026-02-22 | 47 |
| 2026-02-23 | 37 |
| 2026-02-24 | 43 |
| 2026-02-25 | 38 |
| 2026-02-26 | 46 |
| 2026-02-27 | 36 |
| 2026-02-28 | 25 |
| 2026-03-01 | 31 |
| 2026-03-02 | 29 |
| 2026-03-03 | 43 |
| 2026-03-04 | 28 |
| 2026-03-05 | 32 |
| 2026-03-06 | 34 |
| 2026-03-07 | 34 |
| 2026-03-08 | 47 |
| 2026-03-09 | 25 |
| 2026-03-10 | 21 |
| 2026-03-11 | 40 |
| 2026-03-12 | 32 |
| 2026-03-13 | 39 |
| 2026-03-14 | 29 |
| 2026-03-15 | 26 |
| 2026-03-16 | 49 |
| 2026-03-17 | 34 |
| 2026-03-18 | 42 |
| 2026-03-19 | 44 |
| 2026-03-20 | 32 |
| 2026-03-21 | 41 |
| 2026-03-22 | 38 |
| 2026-03-23 | 28 |
| 2026-03-24 | 29 |
| 2026-03-25 | 44 |
| 2026-03-26 | 38 |
| 2026-03-27 | 37 |
| 2026-03-28 | 36 |
| 2026-03-29 | 38 |
| 2026-03-30 | 47 |
| 2026-03-31 | 35 |
| 2026-04-01 | 42 |
| 2026-04-02 | 40 |
| 2026-04-03 | 28 |
| 2026-04-04 | 39 |
| 2026-04-05 | 36 |
| 2026-04-06 | 40 |
| 2026-04-07 | 38 |
| 2026-04-08 | 32 |
| 2026-04-09 | 39 |
| 2026-04-10 | 32 |
| 2026-04-11 | 39 |
| 2026-04-12 | 33 |
| 2026-04-13 | 34 |
| 2026-04-14 | 35 |
| 2026-04-15 | 41 |
| 2026-04-16 | 48 |
| 2026-04-17 | 27 |
| 2026-04-18 | 22 |
| 2026-04-19 | 43 |
| 2026-04-20 | 52 |
| 2026-04-21 | 36 |
| 2026-04-22 | 36 |
| 2026-04-23 | 29 |
| 2026-04-24 | 47 |
| 2026-04-25 | 39 |
| 2026-04-26 | 38 |
| 2026-04-27 | 33 |
| 2026-04-28 | 36 |
| 2026-04-29 | 27 |
| 2026-04-30 | 41 |
| 2026-05-01 | 42 |
| 2026-05-02 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |
| 2026-05-04 | 45 |
| 2026-05-05 | 32 |
| 2026-05-06 | 31 |
| 2026-05-07 | 25 |
| 2026-05-08 | 44 |
| 2026-05-09 | 29 |
| 2026-05-10 | 32 |
| 2026-05-11 | 30 |
| 2026-05-12 | 45 |
| 2026-05-13 | 38 |
| 2026-05-14 | 38 |
| 2026-05-15 | 24 |
| 2026-05-16 | 38 |
| 2026-05-17 | 34 |
| 2026-05-18 | 45 |
| 2026-05-19 | 45 |
| 2026-05-20 | 37 |
| 2026-05-21 | 35 |
| 2026-05-22 | 38 |
| 2026-05-23 | 42 |
| 2026-05-24 | 46 |
| 2026-05-25 | 37 |
| 2026-05-26 | 26 |
| 2026-05-27 | 40 |
| 2026-05-28 | 42 |
| 2026-05-29 | 30 |
| 2026-05-30 | 32 |
| 2026-05-31 | 33 |
| 2026-06-01 | 41 |
| 2026-06-02 | 38 |
| 2026-06-03 | 31 |
| 2026-06-04 | 47 |
| 2026-06-05 | 28 |
| 2026-06-06 | 41 |
| 2026-06-07 | 37 |
| 2026-06-08 | 31 |
| 2026-06-09 | 38 |
| 2026-06-10 | 32 |
| 2026-06-11 | 41 |
| 2026-06-12 | 41 |
| 2026-06-13 | 38 |
| 2026-06-14 | 33 |
| 2026-06-15 | 35 |
| 2026-06-16 | 25 |
| 2026-06-17 | 42 |
| 2026-06-18 | 41 |
| 2026-06-19 | 41 |
| 2026-06-20 | 39 |
| 2026-06-21 | 37 |
| 2026-06-22 | 30 |
| 2026-06-23 | 30 |
| 2026-06-24 | 37 |
| 2026-06-25 | 46 |
| 2026-06-26 | 36 |
| 2026-06-27 | 32 |
| 2026-06-28 | 37 |
| 2026-06-29 | 36 |
| 2026-06-30 | 38 |
| 2026-07-01 | 32 |
| 2026-07-02 | 39 |
| 2026-07-03 | 31 |
| 2026-07-04 | 31 |
| 2026-07-05 | 34 |
| 2026-07-06 | 29 |
| 2026-07-07 | 27 |
| 2026-07-08 | 32 |
| 2026-07-09 | 29 |
| 2026-07-10 | 27 |
| 2026-07-11 | 44 |
| 2026-07-12 | 41 |
| 2026-07-13 | 46 |
| 2026-07-14 | 46 |
| 2026-07-15 | 40 |
| 2026-07-16 | 33 |
| 2026-07-17 | 46 |
| 2026-07-18 | 40 |
| 2026-07-19 | 33 |
| 2026-07-20 | 35 |
| 2026-07-21 | 26 |
| 2026-07-22 | 31 |
| 2026-07-23 | 34 |
| 2026-07-24 | 30 |
| 2026-07-25 | 22 |
| 2026-07-26 | 20 |
| 2026-07-27 | 32 |
| 2026-07-28 | 33 |
| 2026-07-29 | 34 |
| 2026-07-30 | 38 |
| 2026-07-31 | 28 |
| 2026-08-01 | 20 |
| 2026-08-02 | 30 |
| 2026-08-03 | 17 |
| 2026-08-04 | 27 |
| 2026-08-05 | 14 |
| 2026-08-06 | 31 |
| 2026-08-07 | 30 |
| 2026-08-08 | 25 |
| 2026-08-09 | 34 |
| 2026-08-10 | 29 |
| 2026-08-11 | 25 |
| 2026-08-12 | 25 |
| 2026-08-13 | 20 |
| 2026-08-14 | 31 |
| 2026-08-15 | 40 |
| 2026-08-16 | 36 |
| 2026-08-17 | 29 |
| 2026-08-18 | 32 |
| 2026-08-19 | 33 |
| 2026-08-20 | 29 |
| 2026-08-21 | 21 |
| 2026-08-22 | 33 |
| 2026-08-23 | 29 |
| 2026-08-24 | 36 |
| 2026-08-25 | 25 |
| 2026-08-26 | 26 |
| 2026-08-27 | 21 |
| 2026-08-28 | 27 |
| 2026-08-29 | 20 |
| 2026-08-30 | 29 |
| 2026-08-31 | 24 |
| 2026-09-01 | 19 |
| 2026-09-02 | 38 |
| 2026-09-03 | 24 |
| 2026-09-04 | 32 |
| 2026-09-05 | 18 |
| 2026-09-06 | 23 |
| 2026-09-07 | 34 |
| 2026-09-08 | 22 |
| 2026-09-09 | 35 |
| 2026-09-10 | 27 |
| 2026-09-11 | 22 |
| 2026-09-12 | 20 |
| 2026-09-13 | 31 |
This is a measured change in public data during the event window, compared with a baseline before it. It shows timing, not cause. We describe an event as causing a change only when an official source says so.
Transits, all vessel types, Suez Canal
- Baseline (expected)
- 75.8 transits per day
- Observed
- 54.1 transits per day
- Change
- -21.7 (-28.6%)
- Standardised score
- -2.5
- Event window
- 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-17 (120 days, provisional)
- Baseline window
- 2023-09-17 to 2023-11-11 (56 valid days)
- Method
- wfm-effect-1.0
- Computed
- 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), data revision 1:270101932d6b
Source: IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org), International Monetary Fund, using UN Global Platform AIS data. Statistics derived by World Freight Monitor. Terms. Retrieved 2026-09-15 (15 September 2026).
| Date | transits per day |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | 36 |
| 2025-08-11 | 39 |
| 2025-08-12 | 37 |
| 2025-08-13 | 28 |
| 2025-08-14 | 43 |
| 2025-08-15 | 41 |
| 2025-08-16 | 38 |
| 2025-08-17 | 35 |
| 2025-08-18 | 43 |
| 2025-08-19 | 43 |
| 2025-08-20 | 61 |
| 2025-08-21 | 25 |
| 2025-08-22 | 36 |
| 2025-08-23 | 40 |
| 2025-08-24 | 45 |
| 2025-08-25 | 34 |
| 2025-08-26 | 40 |
| 2025-08-27 | 34 |
| 2025-08-28 | 32 |
| 2025-08-29 | 42 |
| 2025-08-30 | 31 |
| 2025-08-31 | 44 |
| 2025-09-01 | 47 |
| 2025-09-02 | 37 |
| 2025-09-03 | 47 |
| 2025-09-04 | 44 |
| 2025-09-05 | 37 |
| 2025-09-06 | 39 |
| 2025-09-07 | 47 |
| 2025-09-08 | 35 |
| 2025-09-09 | 44 |
| 2025-09-10 | 39 |
| 2025-09-11 | 49 |
| 2025-09-12 | 51 |
| 2025-09-13 | 50 |
| 2025-09-14 | 47 |
| 2025-09-15 | 37 |
| 2025-09-16 | 34 |
| 2025-09-17 | 44 |
| 2025-09-18 | 37 |
| 2025-09-19 | 51 |
| 2025-09-20 | 39 |
| 2025-09-21 | 31 |
| 2025-09-22 | 45 |
| 2025-09-23 | 40 |
| 2025-09-24 | 52 |
| 2025-09-25 | 45 |
| 2025-09-26 | 36 |
| 2025-09-27 | 35 |
| 2025-09-28 | 46 |
| 2025-09-29 | 39 |
| 2025-09-30 | 38 |
| 2025-10-01 | 45 |
| 2025-10-02 | 42 |
| 2025-10-03 | 46 |
| 2025-10-04 | 36 |
| 2025-10-05 | 42 |
| 2025-10-06 | 39 |
| 2025-10-07 | 32 |
| 2025-10-08 | 42 |
| 2025-10-09 | 41 |
| 2025-10-10 | 36 |
| 2025-10-11 | 40 |
| 2025-10-12 | 43 |
| 2025-10-13 | 48 |
| 2025-10-14 | 43 |
| 2025-10-15 | 31 |
| 2025-10-16 | 51 |
| 2025-10-17 | 50 |
| 2025-10-18 | 32 |
| 2025-10-19 | 51 |
| 2025-10-20 | 47 |
| 2025-10-21 | 32 |
| 2025-10-22 | 34 |
| 2025-10-23 | 49 |
| 2025-10-24 | 40 |
| 2025-10-25 | 47 |
| 2025-10-26 | 50 |
| 2025-10-27 | 45 |
| 2025-10-28 | 39 |
| 2025-10-29 | 36 |
| 2025-10-30 | 37 |
| 2025-10-31 | 35 |
| 2025-11-01 | 45 |
| 2025-11-02 | 36 |
| 2025-11-03 | 49 |
| 2025-11-04 | 39 |
| 2025-11-05 | 46 |
| 2025-11-06 | 37 |
| 2025-11-07 | 52 |
| 2025-11-08 | 38 |
| 2025-11-09 | 48 |
| 2025-11-10 | 48 |
| 2025-11-11 | 48 |
| 2025-11-12 | 43 |
| 2025-11-13 | 44 |
| 2025-11-14 | 47 |
| 2025-11-15 | 40 |
| 2025-11-16 | 45 |
| 2025-11-17 | 38 |
| 2025-11-18 | 28 |
| 2025-11-19 | 44 |
| 2025-11-20 | 50 |
| 2025-11-21 | 45 |
| 2025-11-22 | 34 |
| 2025-11-23 | 41 |
| 2025-11-24 | 49 |
| 2025-11-25 | 47 |
| 2025-11-26 | 40 |
| 2025-11-27 | 51 |
| 2025-11-28 | 44 |
| 2025-11-29 | 28 |
| 2025-11-30 | 44 |
| 2025-12-01 | 54 |
| 2025-12-02 | 32 |
| 2025-12-03 | 40 |
| 2025-12-04 | 44 |
| 2025-12-05 | 36 |
| 2025-12-06 | 44 |
| 2025-12-07 | 34 |
| 2025-12-08 | 45 |
| 2025-12-09 | 38 |
| 2025-12-10 | 31 |
| 2025-12-11 | 41 |
| 2025-12-12 | 43 |
| 2025-12-13 | 43 |
| 2025-12-14 | 50 |
| 2025-12-15 | 48 |
| 2025-12-16 | 34 |
| 2025-12-17 | 32 |
| 2025-12-18 | 44 |
| 2025-12-19 | 51 |
| 2025-12-20 | 38 |
| 2025-12-21 | 42 |
| 2025-12-22 | 45 |
| 2025-12-23 | 39 |
| 2025-12-24 | 36 |
| 2025-12-25 | 46 |
| 2025-12-26 | 37 |
| 2025-12-27 | 33 |
| 2025-12-28 | 33 |
| 2025-12-29 | 32 |
| 2025-12-30 | 39 |
| 2025-12-31 | 38 |
| 2026-01-01 | 27 |
| 2026-01-02 | 28 |
| 2026-01-03 | 38 |
| 2026-01-04 | 44 |
| 2026-01-05 | 44 |
| 2026-01-06 | 41 |
| 2026-01-07 | 29 |
| 2026-01-08 | 43 |
| 2026-01-09 | 39 |
| 2026-01-10 | 35 |
| 2026-01-11 | 35 |
| 2026-01-12 | 36 |
| 2026-01-13 | 34 |
| 2026-01-14 | 27 |
| 2026-01-15 | 37 |
| 2026-01-16 | 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | 49 |
| 2026-01-18 | 45 |
| 2026-01-19 | 40 |
| 2026-01-20 | 40 |
| 2026-01-21 | 26 |
| 2026-01-22 | 44 |
| 2026-01-23 | 38 |
| 2026-01-24 | 37 |
| 2026-01-25 | 44 |
| 2026-01-26 | 43 |
| 2026-01-27 | 50 |
| 2026-01-28 | 38 |
| 2026-01-29 | 46 |
| 2026-01-30 | 41 |
| 2026-01-31 | 42 |
| 2026-02-01 | 39 |
| 2026-02-02 | 38 |
| 2026-02-03 | 31 |
| 2026-02-04 | 36 |
| 2026-02-05 | 36 |
| 2026-02-06 | 45 |
| 2026-02-07 | 48 |
| 2026-02-08 | 49 |
| 2026-02-09 | 44 |
| 2026-02-10 | 39 |
| 2026-02-11 | 45 |
| 2026-02-12 | 48 |
| 2026-02-13 | 41 |
| 2026-02-14 | 44 |
| 2026-02-15 | 38 |
| 2026-02-16 | 51 |
| 2026-02-17 | 42 |
| 2026-02-18 | 41 |
| 2026-02-19 | 36 |
| 2026-02-20 | 34 |
| 2026-02-21 | 42 |
| 2026-02-22 | 36 |
| 2026-02-23 | 44 |
| 2026-02-24 | 36 |
| 2026-02-25 | 45 |
| 2026-02-26 | 46 |
| 2026-02-27 | 47 |
| 2026-02-28 | 37 |
| 2026-03-01 | 36 |
| 2026-03-02 | 40 |
| 2026-03-03 | 55 |
| 2026-03-04 | 42 |
| 2026-03-05 | 38 |
| 2026-03-06 | 38 |
| 2026-03-07 | 51 |
| 2026-03-08 | 35 |
| 2026-03-09 | 42 |
| 2026-03-10 | 37 |
| 2026-03-11 | 51 |
| 2026-03-12 | 38 |
| 2026-03-13 | 40 |
| 2026-03-14 | 25 |
| 2026-03-15 | 48 |
| 2026-03-16 | 33 |
| 2026-03-17 | 42 |
| 2026-03-18 | 43 |
| 2026-03-19 | 43 |
| 2026-03-20 | 32 |
| 2026-03-21 | 38 |
| 2026-03-22 | 47 |
| 2026-03-23 | 40 |
| 2026-03-24 | 41 |
| 2026-03-25 | 51 |
| 2026-03-26 | 41 |
| 2026-03-27 | 42 |
| 2026-03-28 | 45 |
| 2026-03-29 | 37 |
| 2026-03-30 | 37 |
| 2026-03-31 | 43 |
| 2026-04-01 | 51 |
| 2026-04-02 | 48 |
| 2026-04-03 | 35 |
| 2026-04-04 | 52 |
| 2026-04-05 | 48 |
| 2026-04-06 | 37 |
| 2026-04-07 | 39 |
| 2026-04-08 | 40 |
| 2026-04-09 | 34 |
| 2026-04-10 | 46 |
| 2026-04-11 | 47 |
| 2026-04-12 | 43 |
| 2026-04-13 | 42 |
| 2026-04-14 | 35 |
| 2026-04-15 | 43 |
| 2026-04-16 | 37 |
| 2026-04-17 | 34 |
| 2026-04-18 | 35 |
| 2026-04-19 | 43 |
| 2026-04-20 | 47 |
| 2026-04-21 | 47 |
| 2026-04-22 | 50 |
| 2026-04-23 | 47 |
| 2026-04-24 | 32 |
| 2026-04-25 | 43 |
| 2026-04-26 | 43 |
| 2026-04-27 | 34 |
| 2026-04-28 | 38 |
| 2026-04-29 | 45 |
| 2026-04-30 | 49 |
| 2026-05-01 | 39 |
| 2026-05-02 | 23 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |
| 2026-05-04 | 35 |
| 2026-05-05 | 36 |
| 2026-05-06 | 40 |
| 2026-05-07 | 46 |
| 2026-05-08 | 46 |
| 2026-05-09 | 44 |
| 2026-05-10 | 31 |
| 2026-05-11 | 47 |
| 2026-05-12 | 41 |
| 2026-05-13 | 32 |
| 2026-05-14 | 37 |
| 2026-05-15 | 42 |
| 2026-05-16 | 42 |
| 2026-05-17 | 33 |
| 2026-05-18 | 38 |
| 2026-05-19 | 43 |
| 2026-05-20 | 41 |
| 2026-05-21 | 37 |
| 2026-05-22 | 42 |
| 2026-05-23 | 49 |
| 2026-05-24 | 37 |
| 2026-05-25 | 49 |
| 2026-05-26 | 37 |
| 2026-05-27 | 29 |
| 2026-05-28 | 45 |
| 2026-05-29 | 43 |
| 2026-05-30 | 44 |
| 2026-05-31 | 31 |
| 2026-06-01 | 43 |
| 2026-06-02 | 45 |
| 2026-06-03 | 25 |
| 2026-06-04 | 46 |
| 2026-06-05 | 44 |
| 2026-06-06 | 43 |
| 2026-06-07 | 43 |
| 2026-06-08 | 49 |
| 2026-06-09 | 46 |
| 2026-06-10 | 39 |
| 2026-06-11 | 36 |
| 2026-06-12 | 29 |
| 2026-06-13 | 40 |
| 2026-06-14 | 40 |
| 2026-06-15 | 39 |
| 2026-06-16 | 22 |
| 2026-06-17 | 30 |
| 2026-06-18 | 38 |
| 2026-06-19 | 47 |
| 2026-06-20 | 41 |
| 2026-06-21 | 48 |
| 2026-06-22 | 40 |
| 2026-06-23 | 48 |
| 2026-06-24 | 37 |
| 2026-06-25 | 51 |
| 2026-06-26 | 39 |
| 2026-06-27 | 39 |
| 2026-06-28 | 44 |
| 2026-06-29 | 34 |
| 2026-06-30 | 47 |
| 2026-07-01 | 34 |
| 2026-07-02 | 44 |
| 2026-07-03 | 49 |
| 2026-07-04 | 41 |
| 2026-07-05 | 46 |
| 2026-07-06 | 36 |
| 2026-07-07 | 41 |
| 2026-07-08 | 44 |
| 2026-07-09 | 37 |
| 2026-07-10 | 44 |
| 2026-07-11 | 48 |
| 2026-07-12 | 39 |
| 2026-07-13 | 43 |
| 2026-07-14 | 34 |
| 2026-07-15 | 42 |
| 2026-07-16 | 39 |
| 2026-07-17 | 44 |
| 2026-07-18 | 46 |
| 2026-07-19 | 43 |
| 2026-07-20 | 36 |
| 2026-07-21 | 40 |
| 2026-07-22 | 44 |
| 2026-07-23 | 46 |
| 2026-07-24 | 46 |
| 2026-07-25 | 37 |
| 2026-07-26 | 37 |
| 2026-07-27 | 51 |
| 2026-07-28 | 43 |
| 2026-07-29 | 39 |
| 2026-07-30 | 47 |
| 2026-07-31 | 38 |
| 2026-08-01 | 42 |
| 2026-08-02 | 31 |
| 2026-08-03 | 44 |
| 2026-08-04 | 35 |
| 2026-08-05 | 43 |
| 2026-08-06 | 39 |
| 2026-08-07 | 43 |
| 2026-08-08 | 35 |
| 2026-08-09 | 48 |
| 2026-08-10 | 43 |
| 2026-08-11 | 57 |
| 2026-08-12 | 27 |
| 2026-08-13 | 40 |
| 2026-08-14 | 39 |
| 2026-08-15 | 39 |
| 2026-08-16 | 41 |
| 2026-08-17 | 46 |
| 2026-08-18 | 39 |
| 2026-08-19 | 45 |
| 2026-08-20 | 33 |
| 2026-08-21 | 55 |
| 2026-08-22 | 39 |
| 2026-08-23 | 37 |
| 2026-08-24 | 46 |
| 2026-08-25 | 51 |
| 2026-08-26 | 41 |
| 2026-08-27 | 33 |
| 2026-08-28 | 39 |
| 2026-08-29 | 38 |
| 2026-08-30 | 53 |
| 2026-08-31 | 30 |
| 2026-09-01 | 51 |
| 2026-09-02 | 41 |
| 2026-09-03 | 41 |
| 2026-09-04 | 56 |
| 2026-09-05 | 42 |
| 2026-09-06 | 30 |
| 2026-09-07 | 39 |
| 2026-09-08 | 43 |
| 2026-09-09 | 37 |
| 2026-09-10 | 37 |
| 2026-09-11 | 48 |
| 2026-09-12 | 40 |
| 2026-09-13 | 21 |
This is a measured change in public data during the event window, compared with a baseline before it. It shows timing, not cause. We describe an event as causing a change only when an official source says so.
Transits, all vessel types, Cape of Good Hope
- Baseline (expected)
- 50.8 transits per day
- Observed
- 70.3 transits per day
- Change
- +19.5 (+38.3%)
- Standardised score
- +2.6
- Event window
- 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-17 (120 days, provisional)
- Baseline window
- 2023-09-17 to 2023-11-11 (56 valid days)
- Method
- wfm-effect-1.0
- Computed
- 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), data revision 1:761a80e411bb
Source: IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org), International Monetary Fund, using UN Global Platform AIS data. Statistics derived by World Freight Monitor. Terms. Retrieved 2026-09-15 (15 September 2026).
| Date | transits per day |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | 56 |
| 2025-08-11 | 96 |
| 2025-08-12 | 120 |
| 2025-08-13 | 127 |
| 2025-08-14 | 93 |
| 2025-08-15 | 111 |
| 2025-08-16 | 103 |
| 2025-08-17 | 102 |
| 2025-08-18 | 105 |
| 2025-08-19 | 114 |
| 2025-08-20 | 102 |
| 2025-08-21 | 94 |
| 2025-08-22 | 82 |
| 2025-08-23 | 48 |
| 2025-08-24 | 87 |
| 2025-08-25 | 127 |
| 2025-08-26 | 144 |
| 2025-08-27 | 115 |
| 2025-08-28 | 104 |
| 2025-08-29 | 96 |
| 2025-08-30 | 85 |
| 2025-08-31 | 69 |
| 2025-09-01 | 95 |
| 2025-09-02 | 82 |
| 2025-09-03 | 104 |
| 2025-09-04 | 82 |
| 2025-09-05 | 106 |
| 2025-09-06 | 96 |
| 2025-09-07 | 79 |
| 2025-09-08 | 82 |
| 2025-09-09 | 100 |
| 2025-09-10 | 114 |
| 2025-09-11 | 90 |
| 2025-09-12 | 94 |
| 2025-09-13 | 92 |
| 2025-09-14 | 101 |
| 2025-09-15 | 66 |
| 2025-09-16 | 61 |
| 2025-09-17 | 87 |
| 2025-09-18 | 99 |
| 2025-09-19 | 144 |
| 2025-09-20 | 109 |
| 2025-09-21 | 107 |
| 2025-09-22 | 97 |
| 2025-09-23 | 100 |
| 2025-09-24 | 86 |
| 2025-09-25 | 107 |
| 2025-09-26 | 74 |
| 2025-09-27 | 87 |
| 2025-09-28 | 85 |
| 2025-09-29 | 100 |
| 2025-09-30 | 107 |
| 2025-10-01 | 118 |
| 2025-10-02 | 88 |
| 2025-10-03 | 84 |
| 2025-10-04 | 124 |
| 2025-10-05 | 87 |
| 2025-10-06 | 63 |
| 2025-10-07 | 87 |
| 2025-10-08 | 121 |
| 2025-10-09 | 124 |
| 2025-10-10 | 110 |
| 2025-10-11 | 94 |
| 2025-10-12 | 106 |
| 2025-10-13 | 102 |
| 2025-10-14 | 82 |
| 2025-10-15 | 72 |
| 2025-10-16 | 72 |
| 2025-10-17 | 100 |
| 2025-10-18 | 107 |
| 2025-10-19 | 75 |
| 2025-10-20 | 89 |
| 2025-10-21 | 83 |
| 2025-10-22 | 93 |
| 2025-10-23 | 121 |
| 2025-10-24 | 91 |
| 2025-10-25 | 94 |
| 2025-10-26 | 89 |
| 2025-10-27 | 77 |
| 2025-10-28 | 104 |
| 2025-10-29 | 86 |
| 2025-10-30 | 92 |
| 2025-10-31 | 81 |
| 2025-11-01 | 91 |
| 2025-11-02 | 82 |
| 2025-11-03 | 82 |
| 2025-11-04 | 104 |
| 2025-11-05 | 86 |
| 2025-11-06 | 71 |
| 2025-11-07 | 85 |
| 2025-11-08 | 86 |
| 2025-11-09 | 81 |
| 2025-11-10 | 106 |
| 2025-11-11 | 95 |
| 2025-11-12 | 75 |
| 2025-11-13 | 76 |
| 2025-11-14 | 64 |
| 2025-11-15 | 75 |
| 2025-11-16 | 79 |
| 2025-11-17 | 83 |
| 2025-11-18 | 94 |
| 2025-11-19 | 97 |
| 2025-11-20 | 83 |
| 2025-11-21 | 95 |
| 2025-11-22 | 81 |
| 2025-11-23 | 99 |
| 2025-11-24 | 87 |
| 2025-11-25 | 89 |
| 2025-11-26 | 77 |
| 2025-11-27 | 104 |
| 2025-11-28 | 110 |
| 2025-11-29 | 93 |
| 2025-11-30 | 85 |
| 2025-12-01 | 83 |
| 2025-12-02 | 83 |
| 2025-12-03 | 84 |
| 2025-12-04 | 90 |
| 2025-12-05 | 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | 81 |
| 2025-12-07 | 84 |
| 2025-12-08 | 76 |
| 2025-12-09 | 74 |
| 2025-12-10 | 103 |
| 2025-12-11 | 87 |
| 2025-12-12 | 89 |
| 2025-12-13 | 87 |
| 2025-12-14 | 91 |
| 2025-12-15 | 102 |
| 2025-12-16 | 76 |
| 2025-12-17 | 83 |
| 2025-12-18 | 71 |
| 2025-12-19 | 74 |
| 2025-12-20 | 82 |
| 2025-12-21 | 64 |
| 2025-12-22 | 91 |
| 2025-12-23 | 89 |
| 2025-12-24 | 78 |
| 2025-12-25 | 77 |
| 2025-12-26 | 99 |
| 2025-12-27 | 78 |
| 2025-12-28 | 81 |
| 2025-12-29 | 84 |
| 2025-12-30 | 108 |
| 2025-12-31 | 89 |
| 2026-01-01 | 80 |
| 2026-01-02 | 89 |
| 2026-01-03 | 77 |
| 2026-01-04 | 80 |
| 2026-01-05 | 99 |
| 2026-01-06 | 73 |
| 2026-01-07 | 54 |
| 2026-01-08 | 100 |
| 2026-01-09 | 98 |
| 2026-01-10 | 90 |
| 2026-01-11 | 93 |
| 2026-01-12 | 99 |
| 2026-01-13 | 89 |
| 2026-01-14 | 84 |
| 2026-01-15 | 97 |
| 2026-01-16 | 85 |
| 2026-01-17 | 88 |
| 2026-01-18 | 85 |
| 2026-01-19 | 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | 94 |
| 2026-01-21 | 92 |
| 2026-01-22 | 93 |
| 2026-01-23 | 83 |
| 2026-01-24 | 74 |
| 2026-01-25 | 90 |
| 2026-01-26 | 108 |
| 2026-01-27 | 98 |
| 2026-01-28 | 87 |
| 2026-01-29 | 94 |
| 2026-01-30 | 101 |
| 2026-01-31 | 69 |
| 2026-02-01 | 75 |
| 2026-02-02 | 68 |
| 2026-02-03 | 81 |
| 2026-02-04 | 96 |
| 2026-02-05 | 78 |
| 2026-02-06 | 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | 67 |
| 2026-02-08 | 80 |
| 2026-02-09 | 85 |
| 2026-02-10 | 98 |
| 2026-02-11 | 84 |
| 2026-02-12 | 83 |
| 2026-02-13 | 78 |
| 2026-02-14 | 82 |
| 2026-02-15 | 92 |
| 2026-02-16 | 104 |
| 2026-02-17 | 82 |
| 2026-02-18 | 76 |
| 2026-02-19 | 103 |
| 2026-02-20 | 98 |
| 2026-02-21 | 94 |
| 2026-02-22 | 114 |
| 2026-02-23 | 104 |
| 2026-02-24 | 101 |
| 2026-02-25 | 70 |
| 2026-02-26 | 87 |
| 2026-02-27 | 110 |
| 2026-02-28 | 67 |
| 2026-03-01 | 79 |
| 2026-03-02 | 77 |
| 2026-03-03 | 105 |
| 2026-03-04 | 117 |
| 2026-03-05 | 116 |
| 2026-03-06 | 79 |
| 2026-03-07 | 73 |
| 2026-03-08 | 82 |
| 2026-03-09 | 105 |
| 2026-03-10 | 93 |
| 2026-03-11 | 99 |
| 2026-03-12 | 83 |
| 2026-03-13 | 91 |
| 2026-03-14 | 84 |
| 2026-03-15 | 92 |
| 2026-03-16 | 83 |
| 2026-03-17 | 98 |
| 2026-03-18 | 107 |
| 2026-03-19 | 90 |
| 2026-03-20 | 89 |
| 2026-03-21 | 91 |
| 2026-03-22 | 86 |
| 2026-03-23 | 85 |
| 2026-03-24 | 87 |
| 2026-03-25 | 92 |
| 2026-03-26 | 103 |
| 2026-03-27 | 86 |
| 2026-03-28 | 87 |
| 2026-03-29 | 91 |
| 2026-03-30 | 80 |
| 2026-03-31 | 99 |
| 2026-04-01 | 85 |
| 2026-04-02 | 89 |
| 2026-04-03 | 102 |
| 2026-04-04 | 114 |
| 2026-04-05 | 66 |
| 2026-04-06 | 64 |
| 2026-04-07 | 76 |
| 2026-04-08 | 116 |
| 2026-04-09 | 105 |
| 2026-04-10 | 102 |
| 2026-04-11 | 93 |
| 2026-04-12 | 96 |
| 2026-04-13 | 104 |
| 2026-04-14 | 106 |
| 2026-04-15 | 90 |
| 2026-04-16 | 95 |
| 2026-04-17 | 96 |
| 2026-04-18 | 91 |
| 2026-04-19 | 86 |
| 2026-04-20 | 66 |
| 2026-04-21 | 82 |
| 2026-04-22 | 75 |
| 2026-04-23 | 121 |
| 2026-04-24 | 132 |
| 2026-04-25 | 130 |
| 2026-04-26 | 82 |
| 2026-04-27 | 67 |
| 2026-04-28 | 70 |
| 2026-04-29 | 75 |
| 2026-04-30 | 108 |
| 2026-05-01 | 86 |
| 2026-05-02 | 123 |
| 2026-05-03 | 107 |
| 2026-05-04 | 88 |
| 2026-05-05 | 84 |
| 2026-05-06 | 67 |
| 2026-05-07 | 95 |
| 2026-05-08 | 95 |
| 2026-05-09 | 126 |
| 2026-05-10 | 65 |
| 2026-05-11 | 35 |
| 2026-05-12 | 55 |
| 2026-05-13 | 100 |
| 2026-05-14 | 119 |
| 2026-05-15 | 161 |
| 2026-05-16 | 150 |
| 2026-05-17 | 101 |
| 2026-05-18 | 95 |
| 2026-05-19 | 73 |
| 2026-05-20 | 112 |
| 2026-05-21 | 110 |
| 2026-05-22 | 105 |
| 2026-05-23 | 80 |
| 2026-05-24 | 109 |
| 2026-05-25 | 97 |
| 2026-05-26 | 82 |
| 2026-05-27 | 78 |
| 2026-05-28 | 98 |
| 2026-05-29 | 88 |
| 2026-05-30 | 121 |
| 2026-05-31 | 100 |
| 2026-06-01 | 109 |
| 2026-06-02 | 86 |
| 2026-06-03 | 78 |
| 2026-06-04 | 69 |
| 2026-06-05 | 103 |
| 2026-06-06 | 96 |
| 2026-06-07 | 100 |
| 2026-06-08 | 102 |
| 2026-06-09 | 88 |
| 2026-06-10 | 105 |
| 2026-06-11 | 81 |
| 2026-06-12 | 76 |
| 2026-06-13 | 79 |
| 2026-06-14 | 107 |
| 2026-06-15 | 96 |
| 2026-06-16 | 97 |
| 2026-06-17 | 83 |
| 2026-06-18 | 94 |
| 2026-06-19 | 95 |
| 2026-06-20 | 98 |
| 2026-06-21 | 106 |
| 2026-06-22 | 110 |
| 2026-06-23 | 90 |
| 2026-06-24 | 78 |
| 2026-06-25 | 91 |
| 2026-06-26 | 91 |
| 2026-06-27 | 105 |
| 2026-06-28 | 80 |
| 2026-06-29 | 88 |
| 2026-06-30 | 103 |
| 2026-07-01 | 100 |
| 2026-07-02 | 97 |
| 2026-07-03 | 101 |
| 2026-07-04 | 69 |
| 2026-07-05 | 115 |
| 2026-07-06 | 99 |
| 2026-07-07 | 97 |
| 2026-07-08 | 76 |
| 2026-07-09 | 85 |
| 2026-07-10 | 88 |
| 2026-07-11 | 91 |
| 2026-07-12 | 97 |
| 2026-07-13 | 103 |
| 2026-07-14 | 103 |
| 2026-07-15 | 87 |
| 2026-07-16 | 95 |
| 2026-07-17 | 89 |
| 2026-07-18 | 84 |
| 2026-07-19 | 90 |
| 2026-07-20 | 81 |
| 2026-07-21 | 93 |
| 2026-07-22 | 101 |
| 2026-07-23 | 93 |
| 2026-07-24 | 81 |
| 2026-07-25 | 91 |
| 2026-07-26 | 92 |
| 2026-07-27 | 77 |
| 2026-07-28 | 69 |
| 2026-07-29 | 72 |
| 2026-07-30 | 99 |
| 2026-07-31 | 123 |
| 2026-08-01 | 83 |
| 2026-08-02 | 97 |
| 2026-08-03 | 83 |
| 2026-08-04 | 89 |
| 2026-08-05 | 103 |
| 2026-08-06 | 85 |
| 2026-08-07 | 83 |
| 2026-08-08 | 85 |
| 2026-08-09 | 83 |
| 2026-08-10 | 83 |
| 2026-08-11 | 102 |
| 2026-08-12 | 69 |
| 2026-08-13 | 86 |
| 2026-08-14 | 81 |
| 2026-08-15 | 123 |
| 2026-08-16 | 99 |
| 2026-08-17 | 83 |
| 2026-08-18 | 79 |
| 2026-08-19 | 105 |
| 2026-08-20 | 99 |
| 2026-08-21 | 95 |
| 2026-08-22 | 96 |
| 2026-08-23 | 84 |
| 2026-08-24 | 101 |
| 2026-08-25 | 86 |
| 2026-08-26 | 83 |
| 2026-08-27 | 98 |
| 2026-08-28 | 98 |
| 2026-08-29 | 89 |
| 2026-08-30 | 88 |
| 2026-08-31 | 82 |
| 2026-09-01 | 100 |
| 2026-09-02 | 90 |
| 2026-09-03 | 77 |
| 2026-09-04 | 58 |
| 2026-09-05 | 63 |
| 2026-09-06 | 80 |
| 2026-09-07 | 120 |
| 2026-09-08 | 87 |
| 2026-09-09 | 98 |
| 2026-09-10 | 96 |
| 2026-09-11 | 82 |
| 2026-09-12 | 69 |
| 2026-09-13 | 82 |
This is a measured change in public data during the event window, compared with a baseline before it. It shows timing, not cause. We describe an event as causing a change only when an official source says so.
Transits, container ships, Bab el-Mandeb Strait
- Baseline (expected)
- 19.6 transits per day
- Observed
- 7.1 transits per day
- Change
- -12.5 (-63.7%)
- Standardised score
- -2.9
- Event window
- 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-17 (120 days, provisional)
- Baseline window
- 2023-09-17 to 2023-11-11 (56 valid days)
- Method
- wfm-effect-1.0
- Computed
- 2026-09-19 (19 September 2026), data revision 1:2dd7cbe9ead3
Source: IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org), International Monetary Fund, using UN Global Platform AIS data. Statistics derived by World Freight Monitor. Terms. Retrieved 2026-09-15 (15 September 2026).
| Date | transits per day |
|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | 5 |
| 2025-08-11 | 7 |
| 2025-08-12 | 13 |
| 2025-08-13 | 8 |
| 2025-08-14 | 10 |
| 2025-08-15 | 8 |
| 2025-08-16 | 8 |
| 2025-08-17 | 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | 3 |
| 2025-08-19 | 7 |
| 2025-08-20 | 9 |
| 2025-08-21 | 3 |
| 2025-08-22 | 5 |
| 2025-08-23 | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | 9 |
| 2025-08-25 | 6 |
| 2025-08-26 | 6 |
| 2025-08-27 | 9 |
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This is a measured change in public data during the event window, compared with a baseline before it. It shows timing, not cause. We describe an event as causing a change only when an official source says so.
Previous computations (4)
- 2026-09-19, wfm-effect-1.0, revision 1:55fb2926c713: observed 26.4 against baseline 77.6 transits per day
- 2026-09-19, wfm-effect-1.0, revision 1:ec18ef20d923: observed 39.7 against baseline 75.7 transits per day
- 2026-09-19, wfm-effect-1.0, revision 1:a3e85c66473f: observed 5.4 against baseline 19.6 transits per day
- 2026-09-19, wfm-effect-1.0, revision 1:967e65bd610a: observed 84.6 against baseline 50.9 transits per day
Timeline
- The vehicle carrier Galaxy Leader is boarded from a helicopter and taken to the Yemeni coast near Hodeidah with its crew aboard. [s3]
- The United Kingdom government condemns what it calls the unlawful seizure of the ship by the Houthis and demands the release of vessel and crew. [s1]
- Maersk instructs all of its vessels bound for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to pause, citing a near miss involving one of its ships the day before and a further attack on a container ship. [s2]
- Maersk says the paused ships will instead sail around Africa by way of the Cape of Good Hope. [s2]
- After an attack on one of its ships, Maersk pauses all transits through the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden until further notice and diverts them around the Cape. [s2]
- After a pause in attacks from about November 2025, officials of the group are reported as saying they will resume attacks on merchant ships, and Maersk again moves selected services to the Cape route. [s4]
- Reporting from the region describes Houthi control of the Yemeni Red Sea coast and says operators are still routing around the Cape rather than through the strait. [s5]
Cause
The United Kingdom government attributes the seizure of the Galaxy Leader and the wider campaign against merchant shipping to the Houthi movement, and says Iran has provided it with military and political support. The group has said its attacks target ships it links to Israel and its allies. Attributed by: Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office. [s1] [s3]
Corrections
No corrections to this record as of 2026-09-16 (16 September 2026).
Sources
- [s1] Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, Seizure of MV Galaxy Leader by the Houthis: UK statement, published 2023-11-21 (21 November 2023), accessed 2026-09-15. Archived copy. (official)
- [s2] Maersk, Maersk Operations through Red Sea / Gulf of Aden, published 2023-12-15 (15 December 2023), accessed 2026-09-15. Archived copy. (official)
- [s3] The Maritime Executive, Galaxy Leader's Crewmembers Mark One Year in Houthi Captivity, published 2024-11-17 (17 November 2024), accessed 2026-09-15. Archived copy. (press)
- [s4] gCaptain, Red Sea Corridor Slips Back Into Crisis as Houthi Threats Resurface, published 2026-03-02 (2 March 2026), accessed 2026-09-15. Archived copy. (press)
- [s5] Al Jazeera, Red Sea nations watch as Houthis seize Bab al-Mandeb strait, published 2026-09-13 (13 September 2026), accessed 2026-09-15. Archived copy. (press)